Hi ZS, assuming that whether or not one wins or loses on one scratch ticket (what is that, either way?) is independent from winning or losing on additional scratch ticket, you treat each event as persistent event. Laws of probability tell us to multiply the various probabilities of independent ordeals. It appears that the probability of [losing] on any particular scratch ticket must be 2/3. Propensity the possibilities of [losing] on 30 scratch tickets back to back (if that is what your problem is asking) must be (2/3)^30 = approximately 0.2 x 10^-6, which is about.0000052, or 52 the particular 10 million, which comes from 1 chance out of 192,307.

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